Florida
Fleet lab.
Fleet model v1.1, dated 9 Sep 2026. Base case, cars purchased, work kept in house. The published year-1 EBITDA is −$309,405. Spread over 340 days, that is about −$910 a day. A separate Wednesday readout of the Orlando fence, ten Model Ys, staffed as whole shifts, came out about −$4,497. These sliders recompute a simpler sketch. They will not reprint that Wednesday. Spreadsheet averages hide the shift that breaks the day.
- Default paid miles are 4.89, the in-zone Orlando average. The workbook’s 16 trips and 148 paid miles do not both fit that fence.
- Wildwood, The Villages, and the I-75 shape are labeled assumed. The generic metro pack is assumed too.
- Orlando is the Semoran / Lee Vista evening shape from the readout, not a live dispatch feed.
- Take rate, network fee, Cybercab price, and residual are workbook inputs. The network fee is a placeholder. Residual is not in the day’s cash line. Florida registration is not modeled.
- Upload a CSV of 24 hourly weights. Save a workbook as CSV first. People still on the clock: drivers, cabin techs, charge techs, dispatch, and a remote operator once a robotaxi is in the fleet.
Semoran / Lee Vista shape from the 15-minute readout. Morning pull-out, evening spike, quiet night.
Published workbook
v1.1 does not make year 1.
Fleet model v1.1 · 9 Sep 2026. Base · Purchase · In-house. These figures are the sheet. Sliders do not rewrite them.
- Y1 net revenue
- $971,353
- Y1 EBITDA
- −$309,405
- Y1 net income
- −$409,805
- Y5 EBITDA
- $903,271
Year 1 is 10 driven cars and no robotaxi. Year 5 on the sheet is 16 driven and 20 robotaxi, EBITDA $903,271. Payback on the sheet is beyond five years. Network fee 22% is a placeholder.
This sketch
Sheet day against shift day.
Smoothed sheet
- Revenue
- $2,651
- Labor
- $2,618
- EBITDA-like
- −$694
Driver hours stay at 10.5 per car. Dispatch and cleaning are fractions of a person. Paid miles are 4.89, so fare per paid mile is $3.76. Residual 32% is on the workbook and not in this day. Florida registration is not a line here.
Whole shifts
- Revenue
- $2,412
- Labor
- $6,729
- After trip costs
- $2,262
- EBITDA-like
- −$5,029
- Cash after sketch debt
- −$5,300
- Unmet trips
- 14.4
- Sketch debt / day
- $272
Two driver waves, cabin techs, a charge tech, dispatch. Cash after the sketch debt service is −$5,300. Debt here is 80% of sticker at 7.5% for 60 months. A sketch, not the workbook IRR.
Staffing
Who is on the clock.
00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 20 22
24-hour P&L
Cumulative, not a blend.
| Hour | Trips | Unmet | Revenue | Labor | Net | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00 | 0.0 | 1.6 | $0 | $36 | −$59 | −$59 |
| 01 | 0.0 | 1.6 | $0 | $36 | −$59 | −$118 |
| 02 | 0.0 | 1.6 | $0 | $36 | −$59 | −$178 |
| 03 | 0.0 | 1.6 | $0 | $36 | −$59 | −$237 |
| 04 | 0.0 | 1.6 | $0 | $36 | −$59 | −$296 |
| 05 | 0.0 | 3.2 | $0 | $36 | −$59 | −$355 |
| 06 | 4.8 | 0.0 | $80 | $383 | −$332 | −$687 |
| 07 | 6.4 | 0.0 | $106 | $383 | −$307 | −$994 |
| 08 | 9.6 | 0.0 | $159 | $383 | −$257 | −$1,251 |
| 09 | 9.6 | 0.0 | $159 | $383 | −$257 | −$1,508 |
| 10 | 8.0 | 0.0 | $133 | $383 | −$282 | −$1,790 |
| 11 | 8.0 | 0.0 | $133 | $383 | −$282 | −$2,071 |
| 12 | 8.0 | 0.0 | $133 | $383 | −$282 | −$2,353 |
| 13 | 8.0 | 0.0 | $133 | $383 | −$282 | −$2,635 |
| 14 | 8.0 | 0.0 | $133 | $383 | −$282 | −$2,917 |
| 15 | 9.6 | 0.0 | $159 | $383 | −$257 | −$3,174 |
| 16 | 12.8 | 0.0 | $212 | $383 | −$207 | −$3,381 |
| 17 | 12.8 | 0.0 | $212 | $383 | −$207 | −$3,589 |
| 18 | 11.2 | 0.0 | $186 | $383 | −$232 | −$3,821 |
| 19 | 9.6 | 0.0 | $159 | $383 | −$257 | −$4,078 |
| 20 | 8.0 | 0.0 | $133 | $383 | −$282 | −$4,360 |
| 21 | 6.4 | 0.0 | $106 | $383 | −$307 | −$4,666 |
| 22 | 4.8 | 0.0 | $80 | $355 | −$303 | −$4,970 |
| 23 | 0.0 | 3.2 | $0 | $36 | −$59 | −$5,029 |